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That translates to a 52.56% chance to win the election.
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Data for fivethirtyeight's previous favorability, presidential. Trump (r) biden (d) spread.
270toWin 2025 Presidential Election Interactive Map, 46 OFF, When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2025 presidential election poll is used.
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